Football betting is not like other traditional casino games. Those games are games of chance where the house always has a built-in edge. The house will always win those casino games because they have a negative expected return for the bettor.
Football betting is different in that you can choose which games to wager on and which games to pass on. By only betting on games that have a positive expected return and passing on games that have a negative expected return, the football betting enthusiast can turn the tables on the sportsbook and put himself in the position to always have the edge!
So, when football betting you should always be looking for a correlating cause and effect that is not considered by the bookmakers and the football betting public. When you find this you have a tremendous edge in beating the line!
Here are a couple more football betting methods that some football betting experts use.
Many value handicappers use a rating system to rate the strength of each team. Variations of these rankings are given to the public, i.e. Sagarin Ratings that can be found in the USA Today. These ratings don’t produce consistent football betting results because if they did, the sportsbooks would be bankrupt.
Again this is not a football betting method that I use solely in selecting winners, but it can always be a nice reassurance that a game you like is a good pick. My advice is to look at the components that make up the game, not the line.
The final football betting method is called technical analysis. This football betting method studies the trends and patterns that develop within a season. Football brings the best examples of this. There are certain types of trends that we focus on. These trends are the ones that generally develop because of tough situations or psychological problems.
For example, Michigan is 1-7 against the spread in their last 8 games following a bye week. Florida is 1-6 against the spread in their past 7 home openers. Alabama is 3-8 against the spread in their past 11 meetings with Mississippi State. These are called a situational trend.
In my opinion, technical analysis is the best football betting tool to use when handicapping a game. That is why I have put so much time into providing you with the situational trends I have found that can be used to win big bucks. Although I use this football betting method consistently every week, it is by no means the only measure I use.
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