Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Betting Prediction 7/11/2019
With a duel of the State of the Lone Star will begin the second half of the Major League season. Houston Astros and Texas Rangers share state, and although both teams are separated by nine games in the standings, they also arrive with good expectations for the second half of the season.
While for Houston the focus is on reaching the World Series once again, the Rangers remain in the fight for a wild card, although the mere fact of staying six games above the .500 ERA is enough reason to celebrate in the heart of Texas.
The Rangers want to keep the surprise
Despite closing the first half of the season with just two victories in their last eight games, the first half of the season was a hit for the Rangers, who have held on to more wins than losses in the season. Joey Gallo leads the team with 20 home runs, although he has lost time due to injury. Gallo has been one of the big surprises for this team, as it also has a batting percentage of .275.
Overall, Texas has not had a problem generating races, with 485 runs scored so far this season. Where they have had some problems is in the production from second base. Rougned Odor has been a strikeout machine, far from its level of last year. Odor presents power to bat, but at that rhythm strikeouts, maybe Willie Calhoun could be the solution.
Lance Lynn (11-4, 3.91 PCL) will be in the center of the diamond. Lynn has had a good season and is at her best, with a record of 5-0 and a 2.85 earned run average in her last seven outings. This season, the right-hander lost his only start against Houston, although overall he is 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in seven stars.
The Astros go through the divisional domain
As has been the custom in recent seasons, the Astros remain a serious candidate for the World Series. Houston has survived a wave of injuries (more on that in a moment) and remains with a 7.5-game lead over his closest pursuer in the AL West, the Oakland Athletics.
With George Springer, Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Michael Brantley opening the batting order, there really are few gaps in the offensive of this team. In some other season, Bregman would be in full race for the Most Valuable Player of the American League, with 23 homers and 56 RBIs.
It is not yet known who will be on the mound this Thursday, as Jose Urquidy, who was expected to open this game, was beaten by the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Angels, and finished back at the team’s AAA branch. Framber Valdez (3-4, 4.57) seems to be the favorite to take the ball.
Houston, we have a problem
The biggest problem the Astros have had throughout the season has been injuries. The Astros have lost 106 games combined to Altuve, Springer and Carlos Correa so far this season. Correa is still on the disabled list, along with Aledmys Diaz, although both should return with the team this month.
Even with the absences, the Astros have found a way to stay ahead of the sector and in full race with the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees for the best record in the American League. At this moment they are a game below the New Yorkers, and with half a game of advantage over Minnesota in the fight for the first seeding and home advantage.
With Lynn, the Rangers will give the surprise
Man for man, and despite the injuries, Houston has a better roster than the Rangers. However, doubts about the mound and the good record of Lynn against their state rivals tip the balance in favor of the locals. Lynn must tie the Houston attack, and with Valdez or some other unproven arm, it seems complicated that the Astros can control the powerful Texas offense.
And speaking justly of power, the total number of races for the Rangers is 4.5, and the 1,714 quota to overcome that figure seems a very safe bet, since the uncertainty about the Houston starter has already been commented. The highs for the local are a good opportunity.