The Bears arrive with 3 crucial victories to be champions of their division even in spite of the injury of their QB. They arrive with an 8-3 and 3-2 away team, not bad for an eminently defensive team. The Giants could not win a game they had resolved against the infamous defense of the Eagles and they are seen with a 3-8 and 1-4 local, nor does Barkley fix this.
The proposal is again a very conservative but likely option, the Spread -4 in favor of Bears. The Chicagoans will play again without Trubisky but Daniel has supplied it quite well with 2TD pass and 0INT. The Bears are not a team that stands out in offensive yards but in points, with 28.8 per game are the 5th in the league, a symptom of the ease to score without running in excess.
The Bears backfield is more than acceptable with 10TD and 115.2 yards per game where Howard and Cohen stand out. The reception is very varied and the distribution of its 22TD is balanced between Cohen, Miller, Robinson, Gabriel or Burton. It is not an offensive that scare but they have achieved 8 victories and their scoring power is not accidental.
The defense is one of the best and that’s where the suffering of Giants will go. They are 3rd in points (19.2), 4th in total yards (316.1), 11th in the air (235.3) and 2nd on the ground (80.8). This combination can be lethal for those in NY because Barkley will face a brutal ground defense and Manning the same because these Bears are the leaders in interceptions (22) and 4th in sacks (34). Mack, Hicks and company rub their hands.
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Giants have had a difficult week after the Philadelphia and Beckham’s usual actions are a constant. The problem of the NY is that they are very predictable as Barkley and Beckham, with unquestionable talent, accumulate 60% of the Giants game and Bears is the best team in reading the rival offense.
Manning will suffer the onslaught of a defensive as terrible as effective and is that the NY QB has been caught a whopping 38 times, a candy for Chicago. The fight between Barkley and the 2nd best defense by land of the league will mark the evolution of the game and is that the rookie seems the only one with the ability to reverse the situation. By air, Beckham will have chances with Shepard and Barkley but everything very predictable and pending what Manning can throw.
The withdrawal of Engram does not help but is not decisive. Its defense is bad in all the sections and the worst thing is that they do not press the rival QB since only 14 sacks and 10 interceptions is a bad number. To add negative aspects we have a devastating one, they allow almost 50% of 3rd down conversions, to the NFL queue.
The key is the average of 4.8 yards per carry of Barkley and the 3.6 yards that the Bears allow by land, that margin can be a headache for Giants and opt for more air, which is not easy either. The Chicagoans must win from the defense and leaving the Giants around 20 points is enough, their average is 21.5 and the Bears 28.8.
Daniel should have a comfortable game if his OL continues to work well; last week against Lions with a discreet game was more than enough to win without great bravado. And is that the Bears are a set that has 5 wins in a row and have little publicity, the defense does not attract attention but wins games.